Latest Media
GOOSHII DIFAACATAY ...
[20-06-2017 02:13]
Gool Difaacanaysa C...
[13-06-2017 03:54]
Shirkadda Korantada...
[03-06-2017 18:51]
Barnaamij !Quraanka...
[28-02-2017 23:56]
Daawo Toos CaleemaS...
[22-02-2017 02:33]
Shirqoolkii uu Daji...
[21-02-2017 10:00]
Yaxaaska Dilaaga ah...
[07-02-2017 17:48]
Shirqoolkii lagu Di...
[01-02-2017 11:02]
Taarikhda musharax ...
[01-02-2017 10:48]
Banaan baxa maanta ...
[13-11-2016 16:44]
     
London Predatory Carnival On Somalia
I cannot think of any Somali national issue that was debated in the public domain as vigorously, and as intelligently, as the London Conference on Somalia. This is the third of such conferences hosted by the United Kingdom ― a role that made her the Big Dog and secured her the most influential position within the international community.

Despite its unflattering colonial record, history of shady deals that is still causing bloodshed in the Horn, the velocity in which it appeared in the Somali political scene and swiftly cultivated political clout, many Somali analysts — this one included — have remained optimistic. Assessing the outcome of the first one, I wrote: “it is fair to say that the outcome of the conference is a mixed bag of positives and negatives, though the former outweighs the latter.”

Ever since then, what transpired was that UK was far from being an honest broker, and it was the principle facilitator of a clandestine economic butchery and security dependency.

The Soma Oil and Gas Model

The earlier London Conferences have secured the deal of the century for Soma Oil & Gas — a politically connected shady British company that was registered in the Caribbean only a few days earlier. A company that neither had the expertise in oil exploration nor had any assets.

In that company’s possession a carte blanche signed in a dark room, spoils that make it virtually the sole owner of Somalia’s oil and gas. Soma Oil & Gas is believed being the source of the ghost funding, or the millions of dollars distributed to buy votes during the parliamentary and presidential elections. Interestingly, Somalia’s current Prime Minister, who also had a special relationship with the previous administration, was Soma Oil & Gas’ Executive Director until he was named for the nation’s top executive position.

UK Driving Motives

On March 15th, British Foreign Minister Boris Johnson went to Mogadishu to personally convince the new President Mohamed Abdullahi Farmaajo to endorse the British framed conference agenda and attend the conference. He made the same appeal to each of the Federal State “Presidents”.

UK is anxiously readying herself for an immanent economic hurricane following Brexit and the Conservative Party lead by Theresa May is eager to duplicate David Cameron’s legacy and zero-sum triumph. The successful delivery of Soma Oil & Gas had international predatory capitalists salivating and marching to the orders of the gatekeeper of the chamber of exploitation.

Second, UK is adamant to sideline Turkey and torpedo its relational and strategic progress in Somalia, mainly by proxy and soft disinformation.

Third, UK is conducting geopolitical brokering camouflaged with Gulf dollars. UAE secured military bases with commercial façade in Berbera seaport in the unilaterally seceded (but unrecognized Somaliland. It also secured a deal in Puntland and is negotiating for more. All independent of the Somali federal government.

An Incredible Architecture

By deliberate design, ignorance or default, the plan unveiled by the so-called National Security Architecture seems nothing more than scheme to keep Somalia dependent on foreign security, if it does not sow the seed of perpetual enmity between clans. There could never be a sovereign Somali state so long as it cannot protect its territories.

As the provisional constitution, clan-based federalism and other existentially propositions designed to undermine genuine progress in Somalia, the Security Architecture is a foreign designed with indigenous façade.

The Federal Parliament Committee on Security asserted its opposition to limiting the Somali national army to 18,000 and its police force to 32,000 due to its unconstitutionality. Dividing the 18,000 equally between six clan-based Federal States strips the central government its exclusive authority to build the national defense, not to mention being tantamount to funding clan militias without integration, national objective or central command.

This will make Somalia the testing ground for the feasibility of the clan-ite model that could be applied on many African nations in the near future. Failed or fragile states could be divided into fiefdoms ruled by alpha clans that are too weak to defend themselves, except when fighting each other. From the exploiters’ perspective, there is no better model.

Opting Out Of All Options

Under internal and external pressures, the new president succumbed to what is known as the path of the least resistance. President Farmaajo had three options: Either to request a moratorium to give the new government time to form and assess its priorities and evaluate the advantages and disadvantages of the agenda, timing, venue, representation, method of implementation, and allocation of resources. Or insisting on hosting the conference in Somalia and involving all appropriate institutions before overhauling the so-called Security Architecture and the rest of the agenda to suit Somalia’s needs. Or boycotting the whole London Conference and all similar powwows that make the new Somali government look like a carbon copy of the one before it. Meanwhile, investing all political capital and traditional, religious, and intellectual resources on a genuine Somali-owned national reconciliation.

Once the internal political tension is somewhat defused, the new government would’ve had a legitimate authority to represent Somalia’s interest with a unified voice and engage each nation individually based on Somalia’s national interest. It is the only viable means to get Somalis to sit behind the steering wheel and drive their nation’s strategic interests.

Inflammatory rhetoric such as “we are in an all-out war against Shabaab” may perpetuate the failed global war on terrorism but it is a self-destructive approach for a new government standing on political quicksand.

Straight Talk

Of course the London Conference is not without a luring carrot. According to the official statement the Conference is set to “agree a New Partnership Agreement between the international community and Somalia” to replace the infamous EU-led New Deal for Somalia.

Unfortunately, as in the New Deal, the New Partnership Agreement would be coming with strings attached. Hundreds of millions of dollars would be extravagantly contracted out to the same usual suspects and their cliques. Sadly, it would not be that difficult to bypass the current government since no Independent Anti-corruption Commission is yet established, no official definition for corruption is offered, and no related policy is yet instituted. And in the next couple of months or so, Transparency International would have its report on corruption out and the rest, as they say, is history.

Despite the prevalence of fake news to build false narratives, the age-old relationship between false premises and false conclusions has never been stronger. The former still result the latter.

So, if your assumption per the London Conference on Somalia is one that is altruistically-driven or that UK is chasing terrorists such as the White Widow who was last seen fleeing to Somalia on a camel, you are in for a memorable entertainment- a ‘now you see it, now you don’t’ magic show.

Against that backdrop, there is only one thing left for President Farmaajo to salvage his nation and his presidency; to do the unthinkable by getting on the stage and kicking up some political dust. All he would need for a speech is a poster with these dozen words: Fool us once, shame on you. Fool us twice, shame on us.


Abukar Arman

A former diplomat who writes about the two issues pushing the world to the edge- foreign policy & religion.

Office Network Allbanaadir.com
Mugadishu-Somalia
Allbanaadir@live.com


     
News From The World
Car bomb kills seven at police station in Somali capital: police
22-06-2017

Car bomb in Somali capital kills at least 15, police say
20-06-2017

Van 'hits worshippers leaving mosque' in London
19-06-2017

The ‘Covfefe’ Coalition To Squeeze Qatar
17-06-2017

Iran sends planes of food to Qatar amid concerns of shortages
11-06-2017

Dalkom Somalia, Intelsat SA link up on satellite services(itWebAfrica)
09-06-2017

Al Shabaab kills 20 soldiers in Somalia's Puntland, officer says
08-06-2017

Mozambique police warn bald men after ritual attack
08-06-2017

BBC Hausa unveils a new female-focused programme
06-06-2017

Brighton siege gunman Yacqub Khayre had extensive criminal history, used drugs
06-06-2017

Radical Ideas Muslims Celebrate In Ramadan
01-06-2017

Somali court sentences 5 insurgents to death for attempted bombings Reuters
28-05-2017

Mufiidul Qur’aan Institute in Hargeysa (Online Qur’aanic Memorization School)
27-05-2017

Eritrea Denies Targeting Ethiopia Dam as Egyptian Ties Deepen
22-05-2017

UNHCR records arrival of 39,390 refugees from Somalia, South Sudan Xinhua
20-05-2017

Trump arrives in Saudi Arabia in first foreign trip Aljazeera
20-05-2017

Suspected al Shabaab gunmen kill official in northern Kenya
16-05-2017

Saudi Arabia Donates USD10 Million to Somalia English.aawsat
13-05-2017

Amid widening needs for displaced Somalis, UN refugee agency revises funding appeal UN News Center
13-05-2017

London Predatory Carnival On Somalia
10-05-2017

Somalia International London Conference: A Great Recognition To The Contribution Of The Diaspora.
10-05-2017

Federal Government of Somalia Announces Death of Lower Shabelle al Shabaab Leader
07-05-2017

Somalia is well prepared for the forthcoming London Conference
06-05-2017

Somali minister shot dead in car after being mistaken for militant
03-05-2017

Somali journalists are brave people that lost their lives for their country."
03-05-2017

2017 London Conference on Somalia: Context and Scope
03-05-2017

Impact of Remittance on the Development of War-torn Nations - A Study With Reference to Somalia. Mohamed Ad...
03-05-2017

     
Login
Username

Password



Not a member yet?
Click here to register.

Forgotten your password?
Request a new one here.